Click here to download the table of contents, preface and executive summary. Four reports commissioned by the european strategy and policy analysis system espas task force. In an interconnected and polycentric world, paris, european union institute for security studies, 2012. This edition of global trends is the most widely disseminated in its history. Dec 07, 2014 global trends 2030 was not written for investors, and so the reader must extrapolate and draw inferences concerning the impact of predicted trends and game changers on equity and fixedincome markets. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. A game without a referee the relative decline of the west, the process of globalisation, and the emergence of new powers is creating a world with several interconnected poles. Whenever we think about the future, mega trends are our first helpers. European union institute for security studies euiss, paris, france, and european strategy and policy analysis system espas project, brussels, belgium. The us intelligence council identifies four major trends socalled mega trends that are about to make tectonic shifts in the way we live and organizes our lives. As part of its mission to find a common security culture for the eu, to help develop and project the cfsp, and to enrich europes strategic debate, the institute regularly releases publications on the topics and regions at the core of the unions work.
Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. This analysis is embedded within the framework of the european strategy and policy analysis system espas set up to develop a lasting framework to assess global trends and to develop policy. The number one driving force is naturally the technology. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The european union institute for security studies euiss is a parisbased agency of the. Florence gaub is the deputy director of the european union institute for security studies euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. The report identified several global trends that will shape the world in 2030. About espas european strategy and policy analysis system.
Built on the previous reports drawn up under the espas project to date, this study seeks to map more comprehensively the five major trends that. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 4 1. Euiss european union institute for security studies published this content on 08 april 2019 and is solely responsible for the information contained. Euiss homepage european union institute for security studies. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. The first place to look to understand markets and consumers, enabling you to make better decisions faster. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. We look forward to your insightful thoughts and discussions on themes around the upcoming global trends 2030 report to be published later this year. Megatrends affecting science, technology and innovation. Against this backdrop, the espas global trends to 2030. Union institute for security studies euiss on overall global.
Global demand economic growth in non oecd will drive further increases in global energy consumption. Its core mission is to assist the eu and its member states in the. Annex 1 factsheets on 15 recent global megatrends studies. Global trends to 2030 challenges and choices for europe. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 14 focus on security. This is the first time the nic has jointly developed and produced an unclassified report with a nonus body.
Complete the form to download your copy all fields are required. Leadership in a postwestern world live stream watch leaders in a twoday conference examine the future direction of the world. The product of this pilot project was the espas research report global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world which assesses the longterm political and economic environment facing the european union over the next 20 years. The result of this pilot was the publication of a report in the spring of 2012 by the euiss entitled global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world 5 mb which assessed the longterm political and economic environment facing the eu.
In addition to overseeing the euiss research activities, florence works. How these six gamechangers evolve and interact with each other and with the megatrends and tectonic shifts will determine what kind of transformed world we will experience in 2030. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Burrows, counselor to the national intelligence council, discusses the global trends 2030. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. Union institute for strategic studies euiss on overall global trends, then established a working group for each of the three specific fields, commissioned further research reports from leading think tanks in each field in 20 and subjected. European union institute for security studies euiss. Previous editions of global trends have also identified megatrends, and if there is one part of gt2030 that is the most mature and welldeveloped.
Global trends 2030s six potential gamechangers the vast changes resulting from the megatrends and tectonic shifts alone ensure a transformed world by 2030. The euiss, in its role as the european agency for strategic studies, was identified as the core institution of the pilot trendmonitoring european strategy and policy. Asia will account for around 60% of the total increase6. Seven core drivers of consumer behaviour that will shape global markets over the next 10 years. The product of this pilot project was the espas research report global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world which assesses the longterm political and economic environment.
Citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world, explained the nature of. Euiss report for espas, global trends 2030 citizens in an. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Draft version 1 march 18, 2020 course syllabus course. Mintel announces global food and drink trends for 2030. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004. The first day will be hosted by the european political strategy centre, the european commissions inhouse think tank, at its headquarters, the berlaymont. Mintels 2030 global food and drink trends are available for free download here. Download in pdf format free of charge or order a printed copy. Global governance 2025 provides an important step with a view to future joint projects on matters of common interest. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas global trends 2030.
This is because mega trends have several characteristics in common that help us narrow down the futures from infinite possibilities to a restricted possibility space. Visit this page for continuing coverage of global trends 2030. Euiss and espas, 2012, global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric. See cia global trends 2030 for what the worlds true leaders want versus the fuji declaration related to ervin laszlos networks, which is about a positive future. The european union institute for security studies euiss is the unions agency dealing with. For something as unknown as the future, it appears to have become surprisingly predictable.
Challenges and choices for europe report is a contribution to support policy and decisionmakers as they navigate the world into 2030. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Any reader looking for a road map on what these scenarios will mean for finance will be disappointed. This research report forms part of our series on global societal trends and their impact on the eu in 2030.
Global trends 2030 2011 by the european union institute for security studies had indicated that the. The euiss 2012 report and the regular efforts of the national intelligence council eg. In addition to overseeing the euiss research activities, florence works on strategic foresight, geopolitics as well as the middle east and north. The global governance 2025 project is innovative in many respects. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. In leading the espas project, the euiss sought the close involvement of policy experts and regional representatives from around the world.
Publications european union institute for security studies. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. The european union institute for security studies euiss is the unions agency dealing with the analysis of foreign, security and defence policy issues. Download global trends 2030 this edition of global trends is the most widely disseminated in its history. The product of this pilot project was the espas research report global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world which assesses the long. The various trends identified are likely to be disrupted by unforeseen natural and manmade events, but will also be shaped by policy options that are in most cases unpredictable. European union institute for security studies wikipedia. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Eu policy formulation depends on the timely identification of longterm global trends. The report is available for the most popular content platforms and ereaders. The global megatrends shaping governments, kpmg international and mowat centre for policy innovation, toronto, canada.
Polycentrism in a posthegemonic world and the future of. At the heart of global trends 2030 are four megatrends that it identifies as the most significant trends that will affect the world looking out over a decadeandahalf into the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. The european union institute for security studies euiss is a parisbased agency of the european union eu within the realm of common foreign and security policy cfsp. European union institute for security studies euiss 2012 global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 1. In addition to overseeing the euiss research activities, florence works on strategic foresight, geopolitics as well as the middle east and north africa. The euiss is an autonomous agency with full intellectual freedom and researches security issues of relevance for the eu and provides a forum for debate. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends.
Ce n f the di eo re ic te l in llige na of nat or io ct of f dear reader. Union institute for strategic studies euiss on overall global trends, then established a working group for each of the three specific fields, commissioned further research reports. Asia rises, the west declines the planet may also be racked by wars over food and water. Relate the past, present, and likely future developments in the global energy sector to geopolitical changes and global trends, in particular the impact of the corona virus pandemic. Distinguish between the role of national and corporate interests and personal economic and political power objectives of. The global trends identified in this report do not allow us to define with certainty how the world will look in 2030, as much will depend on unknown variables. European union institute for security studies euiss country. The rolling programme of the conference covers two days. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. European union institute for security studies euiss, paris, france, and european strategy and policy. Alternative worlds 2012 by the national intelligence council, whereas, in turn, the study citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world. What will it take for europe to hold its destiny in its own hands in 2030.